Showing 1 - 10 of 219
This paper features an analysis of the cointegration relationships among agricultural commodity, ethanol and Cushing … cointegration and Markov-switching VECM and Impulse Response Analysis, confirms that these markets have significant linkages which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011479769
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009724819
with general cointegration rank. Our hedge is optimal in the sense of minimum variance portfolio. We consider a model that … correlation and cointegration parameters. For short holding periods the correlation impact is predominant. For long horizons, the … hedge ratio should overweight the cointegration parameters rather then short-run correlation information. In the innite …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010244526
In this paper the effect of excess narrow money (MI) on C PI intlation in Indonesiabefore, during, and after the Asian crisis is empirically examined. The standard model for themonetary analysis of inflation, i.e. the P-Star model by Hallman-Porter-Small (1991), isapplied and tested empirically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011343263
This paper examines the long-run trends in per-capita income across the US states (1929-2005). Our analysis advocates and implements a Vector Error Correction Model (VECM), in order to investigate whether disparities in per-capita income embody a stable long-run relation. The empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010224805
. Additionally, we consider situations where the regressors exhibit unit roots, thus delving into a nonlinear cointegration framework …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014335549
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010191432
In economics and finance, speculative bubbles take the form of locally explosive dynamics that eventually collapse. We propose a test for the presence of speculative bubbles in the context of mixed causal-noncausal autoregressive processes. The test exploits the fact that bubbles are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014536201
cointegration are provided. As a first application, we give analyticalcorroboration of the conjecture that the finite sample … coefficient. Hence, the notionof near cointegration helps to bridge the gap between the polar cases ofspurious regression and … cointegration. Secondly, we characterize theproperties of conventional cointegration methods under near cointegration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011300555
Do futures markets have a stabilizing or destabilizing effect on commodity prices? Empirical evidence is inconclusive. We try to resolve this question by means of a learning-to-forecast experiment in which a futures market and a spot market are coupled. The spot market exhibits negative feedback...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012024025