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Signed customer order flow correlates with permanent price changes in equity and nonequity markets. We exploit macro news events in the 30Y treasury futures market to identify causality from customer flow to riskfree rates. We remove the positive feedback trading part and establish that, in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011373834
We develop a new likelihood-based approach to sign trades in the absence of quotes. It is equally efficient as existing MCMC methods, but more than 10 times faster. It can deal with the occurrence of multiple trades at the same time, and noisily observed trade times. We apply this method to a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011378307
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009724343
We use a series of different approaches to extract information about crash risk from option prices for the Euro-Dollar exchange rate, with each step sharpening the focus on extracting more specific measures of crash risk around dates of ECB measures of Unconventional Monetary Policy. Several...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011940034
A recently much debated issue is why observed investment and growth rates inpoor countries are lower than traditional … investment rates is notmonotonic but follows a hump-shaped pattern. The empirical evidence shows thatalthough very poor economies … have very low investment rates there are'intermediately' developed economies that exhibit extremely high investmentrates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011302623
In this paper we perform a meta-analysis on empirical estimates of the impact between investment and uncertainty. Since … investment research. For example, not including factor prices in investment models may seriously affect the model outco! mes … can explain to a large extent why empirical estimates of the investment-uncertainty relationship differ. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011349194
variable is the particular decision stage at which a global risk is resolved: (i) before the investment decision; (ii) after … the investment decision, but before the resolution of the decision risk; (iii) after the resolution of the decision risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011349715
This paper experimentally investigates investment behavior.We find that global risk – i.e. risk independent of an agent …’sinvestment decision (like political risk) – substantiallydecreases investment. Also effort to obtain the capital usedfor investment … decreases investment substantially. Theseresults are neither in line with expected utility theory norwith psychologically …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011317470
Fragmentation of production into more and more complex supply chains is a prominent feature of globalisation. It implies that transaction costs as part of total costs of ownership carry a large weight in procurement decisions. An analysis of the various types of transaction costs is also...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011373829
endogenous domestic and foreign investment. It is found that horizontal multinational activity always leads to a complementary … relationship between domestic and foreign investment. Vertical multinational activity, in contrast, leads to either a … substitutional or complementary relationship between domestic and foreign investment, depending on the firms' technologies. We test …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011377536