Showing 1 - 10 of 668
We model panel data of crime careers of juveniles from a Dutch Judicial Juvenile Institution. The data are decomposed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011372520
We propose a new score-driven model to capture the time-varying volatility and tail behavior of realized kernels. We assume realized kernels follow an F distribution with two time-varying degrees-of-freedom parameters, accounting for the Vol-of-Vol and the tail shape of the realized kernel...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012053572
The asymmetric moving average model (asMA) is extended to allow forasymmetric quadratic conditional heteroskedasticity (asQGARCH). Theasymmetric parametrization of the conditional variance encompassesthe quadratic GARCH model of Sentana (1995). We introduce a framework fortesting asymmetries in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011303289
the observed time series. We develop a simulated maximum likelihood estimation method based on importance sampling and … applied to quarterly and monthly US inflation in an empirical study. We find that the persistence of quarterly inflation has … and density forecasts for monthly US inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011809984
-based filtering and estimation, for which we suggest to use the smooth marginalized particle filter (SMPF). In a Monte Carlo …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012214446
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008857052
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008809883
We propose two robust bootstrap-based simultaneous inference methods for time series models featuring time-varying coefficients and conduct an extensive simulation study to assess their performance. Our exploration covers a wide range of scenarios, encompassing serially correlated,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014335549
high-dimensional space, where estimation of the predictive regression model is based on a shrinkage estimator to avoid …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011382698
We propose a new approach to deal with structural breaks in time series models. The key contribution is an alternative dynamic stochastic specification for the model parameters which describes potential breaks. After a break new parameter values are generated from a so-called baseline prior...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011383033