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Bubble formation and (in)efficient markets in learning-to-forecast and -optimise experiments
Te, Bao; Hommes, Cars H.; Makarewicz, Tomasz - 2015
This experiment compares the price dynamics and bubble formation in an asset market with a price adjustment rule in three treatments where subjects (1) submit a price forecast only, (2) choose quantity to buy/sell and (3) perform both tasks. We find deviation of the market price from the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011333057
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Bubbles, crashes and information contagion in large-group asset market experiments
Hommes, Cars H.; Kopányi-Peuker, Anita; Sonnemans, Joep - 2019
We experimentally investigate how price expectations are formed in a large asset market where subjects' only task is to forecast the future price of a risky asset. The realized prices depend on these expectations. We observe small (6 participants) and large markets (about 100 participants). In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011979625
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An experimental study of bond market pricing
Weber, Matthias; Duffy, John; Schram, Arthur - 2016
An important feature of bond markets is the relationship between initial public offering prices and the probability of … the issuer defaulting. First, this probability affects bond prices. Second, IPO prices determine the default probability … yield competitive prices when such interaction with the default probability occurs. We develop a flexible bond market model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011520861
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Complex evolutionary systems in behavioral finance
Hommes, Cars H.; Wagener, Florian Oskar Ottokar - 2008
Traditional finance is built on the rationality paradigm. This chapter discusses simple models from an alternative approach in which financial markets are viewed as complex evolutionary systems. Agents are boundedly rational and base their investment decisions upon market forecasting heuristics....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011376458
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Positive expectations feedback experiments and number guessing games as models of financial markets
Sonnemans, Joep; Tuinstra, Jan - 2008
In repeated number guessing games choices typically converge quickly to the Nash equilibrium. In positive expectations feedback experiments, however, convergence to the equilibrium price tends to be very slow, if it occurs at all. Both types of experimental designs have been suggested as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011376659
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Coordination of expectations in asset pricing experiments
Hommes, Cars H.; Sonnemans, Joep; Tuinstra, Jan; … - 2003
We investigate expectation formation in a controlled experimental en-vironment. Subjects are asked to predict the price in a standard asset pricingmodel. They do not have knowledge of the underlying market equilibrium equa-tions, but they know all past realized prices and their own predictions....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011333274
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Valuing Euro rating-triggered step-up telecom bonds
Houweling, Patrick; Mentink, Albertus André; Vorst, Ton - 2003
We value rating-triggered step-up bonds with three methods: (i) the Jarrow, Lando andTurnbull (1997, JLT) framework, (ii) a similar framework using historical probabilities and(iii) as plain vanilla bonds. We find that the market seems to value single step-up bondsaccording to the JLT model,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011333259
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Volatility smirk as an externality of agency conflict and growing debt
Jaskowski, Marcin; McAleer, Michael - 2013
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009784936
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Accounting noise and the pricing of cocos
Derksen, Mike; Spreij, Peter; Wijnbergen, Sweder van - 2018
Contingent Convertible bonds (CoCos) are debt instruments that convert into equity or are written down in times of distress. Existing pricing models assume conversion triggers based on market prices and on the assumption that markets can always observe all relevant firm information. But all...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011818282
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The banker's oath and financial advice
Weitzel, Utz; Kirchler, Michael - 2021
Financial misbehavior is widespread and costly. The Dutch government legally requires every employee in the financial sector to take a Hippocratic oath, the so-called "banker's oath." We investigate whether moral nudges that directly and indirectly remind financial advisers of their oath affect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012510856