Showing 1 - 10 of 27
Different theories of expectation formation and learning usually yield different outcomes for realized market prices in … dynamic models. The purpose of this paper is to investigate expectation formation and learning in a controlled experimental …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011333266
An important feature of bond markets is the relationship between initial public offering prices and the probability of the issuer defaulting. First, this probability affects bond prices. Second, IPO prices determine the default probability. Though the market equilibrium has been shown to predict...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011520861
employer learning about the worker's ability might be important. Furthermore, we find that the Portuguese labor market is not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011349718
This essay links some of my own work on expectations, learning and bounded rationality to the inspiring ideas of Jean …-Michel Grandmont. In particular, my work on consistent expectations and behavioral learning equilibria may be seen as formalizations of … JMG's ideas of self-fulfilling mistakes. Some of our learning-to-forecast laboratory experiments with human subjects have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011590425
We apply the dynamic stochastic framework proposed by recent evolutionaryliterature to the class of strict supermodular games when two simplebehavior rules coexist in the population, imitation and myopic optimization.We assume that myopic optimizers are able to see how well their payoff...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011302143
macroeconomic models in which agents are boundedly rational and use an adaptive learning rule to form expectations of the endogenous … estimate it empirically. Two prominent learning algorithms are considered, namely constant gain and decreasing gain learning …. For each of the two learning rules, the analysis proceeds in two stages. First, the paper derives the asymptotic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011333062
As part of the Kyoto Protocol, many countries have committed themselves tosubstantially reduce the emission of greenhouse gases within a politically imposed timeconstraint. Investment subsidies can be an important instrument to stimulate the adoption ofenergy-saving technologies to achieve...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011333267
We develop a theoretical framework for studying the effects of interaction on the quaJity of decision-making by monetary policy committees. We show that interaction, i.e. increasing one's expertise through an exchange of views, is most likely not to result in interdependent voting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011334835
The purpose of this paper is to show how institutional and evolutionary economics provide better insights as to whysome firms survive and others do not than does neoclassical economics. At the heart of the evolutionary theory isthe view that new firms are a manifestation of diversity and that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010533203
We study social learning in a social network setting where agents receive independent noisy signals about the truth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011801379