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We investigate changes in the time series characteristics of postwar U.S. inflation. In a model-based analysis the … conditional mean of inflation is specified by a long memory autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average process and the … efficient estimates of the parameters using a monthly dataset of core inflation for which we consider different subsamples of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011373822
concerned with themodelling and forecasting of two U.S. macroeconomic time series:inflation and industrial production. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011327834
the Phillips curve over time. We consider different specifications and different measures for inflation. Furthermore, we ….S. headline inflation has remained empirically relevant over the years. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012665848
applied to quarterly and monthly US inflation in an empirical study. We find that the persistence of quarterly inflation has … and density forecasts for monthly US inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011809984
, notwithstanding that inflation in some countries tends to converge towards the euro area level. Overa11, inflation persistence has …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011327545
Traditional ways of analyzing the effects of monetary policy shocks via structural vector autoregressions require the use of unrealistic identifying assumptions: they either do not allow for a response of output and prices on impact of the shock, or they exclude contemporaneous values of these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011382001
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009724100
, inflation, and bond spread. We empirically identify a time-varying linkage between economic and financial variables which are … effects of financial shocks on output and inflation during crisis and non-crisis periods. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012591572
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010191084
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010191387