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The multivariate analysis of a panel of economic and financial time series with mixed frequencies is a challenging problem. The standard solution is to analyze the mix of monthly and quarterly time series jointly by means of a multivariate dynamic model with a monthly time index: artificial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010391543
been satisfactorily answered. We focus on out-of-sample nowcasting, and extend the Bayesian Structural Time Series model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011987495
-noise dynamic factor models, commonly used in macroeconomic forecasting and nowcasting. We show analytically and in Monte Carlo … estimation accuracy. Modestly increasing the noise level also accelerates convergence. A nowcasting exercise of euro area GDP …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014249849
This paper investigates the feasibility of using earlier provisional data to improve the now- and forecasting accuracy of final and official statistics. We propose the use of a multivariate structural time series model which includes common trends and seasonal components to combine official...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015062979