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Accurate prediction of the frequency of extreme events is of primary importance in many financialapplications such as Value-at-Risk (VaR) analysis. We propose a semi-parametric method for VaRevaluation. The largest risks are modelled parametrically, while smaller risks are captured by the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010533206
degree of volatility risk in stock and index returns, where we characterize volatility risk by the extent to which … forecasting errors in realized volatility are substantive. Even though returns standardized by ex post quadratic variation … distribution of returns. Explicitly modeling this volatility risk is fundamental. We propose a dually asymmetric realized …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010366935
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009784942
This paper features an analysis of the effectiveness of a range of portfolio diversification strategies as applied to a set of daily arithmetically compounded returns on a set of ten market indices representing the major European markets for a nine year period from the beginning of 2005 to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010414201
terms of returns and volatility, received much less attention. With the use of an econometric methodology, the paper aims to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011566387
, both in terms of returns and volatility, is still a barren landscape. Using econometric methodology, the paper investigates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011658758
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009767001
univariate volatility models (including HEAVY and Realized GARCH models), using daily returns from the S&P 500, DJIA, FTSE and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010384112
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010191413
Large data sets in finance with millions of observations have becomewidely available. Such data sets enable the construction of reliablesemi-parametric estimates of the risk associated with extreme pricemovements. Our approach is based on semi-parametric statisticalextreme value analysis, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011299966