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We examine the risky choices of contestants in the popular TV game show “Deal or No Deal” and related classroom experiments. Contrary to the traditional view of expected utility theory, the choices can be explained in large part by previous outcomes experienced during the game. Risk aversion...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011348343
Given the possibility to modify the probability of a loss, will a profit-maximizing insurer engage in loss prevention or is it in his interest to increase the loss probability? This paper investigates this question. First, we calculate the expected profit maximizing loss probability within an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010395085
psychophysics, in which deviations from average behavior are termed (statistical) errors; and the latter's work on decision theory … a new descriptive theory of human decision making in the real world, coined Heuristics and Biases. The 1979 Econometrica …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011346453
Economists have become increasingly interested in using attention to explain behavioral patterns both on the micro and macro level. This has resulted in several disparate theoretical approaches. Some, like rational inattention, assume a "top-down" model of executive optimization. Others, like...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012510861
causal role of attention on the decision process, we manipulate for how long each outcome is presented before showing the … weight on the decision. We find specific effects in the domain of losses, but not gains. A longer presentation duration of … sensitivity to both gain and loss values in their decision. Further analyses show that specifically participants with higher …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013332731
performance, together influence the decision to hold on to or to capitulate on an investment. We study the relative contribution … decision to capitulate an investment, however, only depends directly on the expectation about the stock’s future performance …. The adaptation level, by contrast, affects the actual investment decision indirectly via its impact on expectations. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011377365
variable is the particular decision stage at which a global risk is resolved: (i) before the investment decision; (ii) after … the investment decision, but before the resolution of the decision risk; (iii) after the resolution of the decision risk …. Dependent on the timing of the global risk different combinations of anticipated and experienced emotions influence decision …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011349715
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010191024
Higher order risk preferences are important determinants of economic behaviour. We apply behavioural insights to this topic: we measure higher order risk preferences for pure gains and pure losses by controlling the reference point. We find a reflection effect not only for second order risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011924804
We show that if an agent is uncertain about the precise form of his utility function, his actual relative risk aversion may depend on wealth even if he knows his utility function lies in the class of constant relative risk aversion (CRRA) utility functions. We illustrate the consequences of this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011382430