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We develop a new dynamic multivariate model for the analysis and the forecasting of football match results in national … six large European football competitions and we validate the precision of the forecasts for a period of seven years for …
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Probit models with endogenous regressors are commonly used models in economics and other social sciences. Yet, the robustness properties of parametric estimators in these models have not been formally studied. In this paper, we derive the influence functions of the endogenous probit model's...
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five major OECD countries, namely United States, Germany, United Kingdom, The Netherlands and Japan, the other forecasting …
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In this paper we study what professional forecasters actually explain. We use spectral analysis and state space modeling to decompose economic time series into a trend, a business-cycle, and an irregular component. To examine which components are captured by professional forecasters we regress...
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