Showing 1 - 10 of 651
This paper provides an empirical analysis of decoupling economic growth and energy use and its various determinants by exploring trends in energy- and labour productivity across 10 manufacturing sectors and 14 OECD countries for the period 1970-1997. We explicitly aim to trace back aggregate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011334858
To study the effect of the euro on international goods trade one typically estimates a panel model for the level of trade. Trade levels increase over time, and we show that this is not fully explained by the included regressors. Because the euro is only present at the end of the sample, this may...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011334328
Convergence in gross domestic product series of five European countriesis empirically identified using multivariate … time series models that arebased on unobserved components with dynamic converging properties.We define convergence in terms ….The inclusion of such convergence mechanisms within the formulation ofunobserved components makes the identification of various …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011333256
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001689446
Can fixed exchange rate regimes cause output divergence among member states? We show that such divergence is a long-run equilibrium characteristic of a two-region model with fixed exchange rates, heterogeneous labor markets, and endogenous growth. Under flexible exchange rates, monetary policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013186796
There has been a revival of interest in the effect of risk on economic growth. We quantify both ex ante and ex post effects of risk using a stochastic version of the Ramsey model. We develop a simulation-based econometric methodology which allows us to estimate the model in the structural form...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011334326
uncertainty, a stochastic version of the Ramsey modelwith livestock as the single asset. We use the estimation results in … simulation experiments(over a 20-year period) to quantify the importance of convergence, household fixed effectsand shocks. First …, we find powerful convergence. In the absence of shocks and withouthousehold fixed effects there is rapid growth over the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011326975
-run effectiveness of government spending in stabilizing real GDP and private consumption has increased until the end-1980s but it has … multipliers. We find that a higher ratio of credit to households over GDP, a smaller share of government investment and a larger …, our results indicate that higher government debt-to-GDP ratios have negatively affected long-term multipliers. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011380027
This paper proposes a new model-based method to obtain a coincident indicator for the business cycle. A dynamic factor model with trend components and a common cycle component is considered which can be estimated using standard maximum likelihood methods. The multivariate unobserved components...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011334364
largest euro area countries over the period 1970 to 2014. We find that credit, the credit-to-GDP ratio and house prices have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011456728