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We investigate changes in the time series characteristics of postwar U.S. inflation. In a model-based analysis the … varying size. Based on the new modelling framework and the associated estimation technique, we find remarkable changes in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011373822
The three most popular univariate conditional volatility models are the generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model of Engle (1982) and Bollerslev (1986), the GJR (or threshold GARCH) model of Glosten, Jagannathan and Runkle (1992), and the exponential GARCH (or...
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In this article we consider the efficient estimation of the tail distribution of the maximum of correlated normal random variables. We show that the currently recommended Monte Carlo estimator has difficulties in quantifying its precision, because its sample variance estimator is an inefficient...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011431354
(SVM) model based on Monte Carlo simulation methods. The SVM modelincorporates the unobserved volatility as anexplanatory variable …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011303314
algorithms on a number of test functions, including a simulation model for cancer screening. The results show that co! nsiderable …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011343271
The linear Gaussian state space model for which the common variance istreated as a stochastic time-varying variable is considered for themodelling of economic time series. The focus of this paper is on thesimultaneous estimation of parameters related to the stochasticprocesses of the mean part...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011327834
methods. Our methodology explores the idea that only a small part of the likelihood evaluation problem requires simulation. We …-off encountered by other sampling methods. An elaborate simulation study and an empirical application for U.S. stock returns reveal … large efficiency gains for a range of models used in financial econometrics. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011386179
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