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volatility forecasting into two pillars: the realized variances and realized correlations and quantifies the corresponding …% and at least 78%). The results on the GMV portfolios show that realized covariance models exhibit lower ex-post volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015064180
forecasting, the authors propose a new factor multivariate stochastic volatility (fMSV) model for realized covariance measures … correlation MSV model, the conditional/stochastic Wishart autoregressive models, the matrix-exponential MSV model, and the … outperform existing dynamic conditional correlation models for forecasting future covariances. Among the new fMSV models, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010259630
We investigate covariance matrix estimation in vast-dimensional spaces of 1,500 up to 2,000 stocks using fundamental … about estimation risk in FFMs in high dimensions. We investigate whether recent linear and non-linear shrinkage methods help … to reduce the estimation risk in the asset return covariance matrix. Our findings indicate that modest improvements are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011949129
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009720703
the variance matrix. Monte Carlo evidence for parameter estimation based on different small sample sizes is provided. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011520881
This paper utilizes a very simple model to study the timing and determinants of speculationagainst a fixed exchange rate regime when investors are heterogeneous because of locationaldifferences. Location matters because resident players may incur smaller costs when takinga short-position, are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011326412
dynamic factor and a vector autoregressive model and includes stochastic volatility, denoted by FAVAR-SV. Next, a Bayesian … momentum strategy. The estimation of this modeling and strategy approach can be done using an extended and modified version of … risk features like volatility and largest loss, which indicates that complete densities provide useful information for risk. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011563065
conditions have the nice interpretation of restricting the level, slope and curvature of the correlation surface. It is proven … that the Schoenmakers-Coffey correlation matrix also brings along such factors. Finally, we formulate and corroborate our … conjecture that the order present in correlation matrices causes slope. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011346478
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003115925
This paper investigates the merits of high-frequency intraday data when forming minimum variance portfolios and minimum tracking error portfolios with daily rebalancing from the individual constituents of the S&P 100 index. We focus on the issue of determining the optimal sampling frequency,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011346450