Showing 1 - 10 of 2,869
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009724148
This paper examines whether the ECB's Quantitative Easing (QE) policy is causing government bond prices to deviate from their fundamental value. We use a recent advance in the methodology to measure exuberant price behavior in financial time series introduced by Phillips et al. (2015). We extend...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011715916
model to be extended with stochastic volatility and heavy tailed disturbances. We develop a flexible estimation method for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010362975
We introduce a new fractionally integrated model for covariance matrix dynamics based on the long-memory behavior of daily realized covariance matrix kernels and daily return observations. We account for fat tails in both types of data by appropriate distributional assumptions. The covariance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011531139
We introduce a dynamic Skellam model that measures stochastic volatility from high-frequency tick-by-tick discrete … series per day varies from 1000 to 10,000. Complexities in the intraday dynamics of volatility and in the frequency of trades … intraday volatility shows that the dynamic modified Skellam model provides accurate forecasts compared to alternative modeling …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011295740
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009724817
accounts for time variation in macroeconomic volatility, known as the great moderation. In particular, we consider an … volatility processes and mixture distributions for the irregular components and the common cycle disturbances enable us to … that time-varying volatility is only present in the a selection of idiosyncratic components while the coefficients driving …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011376640
volatility processes. This is called a GSSF-SV model. We show that conventional MCMC algorithms for this type of model are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011334849
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009720703
forecasting, the authors propose a new factor multivariate stochastic volatility (fMSV) model for realized covariance measures …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010259630