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Overconfidence seems to be an essential aspect of human nature, and one way to study overconfidence is to consider students' forecasts of their exam grades. Part of a student's grade expectation is based on the student's previous academic achievements; what remains can be interpreted as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011688320
This paper builds on one of the results of Pruzhansky [22], namely that maximin strategies guarantee the same expected payoffs as mixed Nash equilibrium strategies in bimatrix games. We present a discussion on the applicability of maximin strategies in such class of games. The usefulness of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011334836
organized as: historical research on statistics => criticism on Kahneman and Tversky => the bounded rationality research program …. In turn, these attacks functioned as the driving force behind the development of the bounded rationality research program …. Behind the debate, it is argued, lies a fundamental different idea of how human decision-making is to be understood and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011348361
This paper provides an overview of the work of Herbert Simon and his ideas about rational decision making. By his own …’s research is how human beings organize themselves in different structures of distributed decision making in order to achieve a … degree of rationality that is higher than which can be attained by the individual. In this realm his main preoccupation are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011350370
heterogeneity of committee members, this voting rule is suboptimal in terms of the quality of the interest rate decision, but …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011342577
This paper is concerned with the role of committees in collective decision-makingprocesses in a world where agents must … be motivated to collect information. Committees improvethe quality of decision-making by providing information and by … preferences of the committeemembers should be aligned to those of the decision maker. Members with similar preferences asthe …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011332816
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001791773
The paper studies information processing imperfections in a fully rational decision-making network. It is shown that … as a rational foundation for bounded rationality. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011335195
This essay links some of my own work on expectations, learning and bounded rationality to the inspiring ideas of Jean …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011590425
Interacting agents in finance represent a behavioral, agent-based approach in which financial markets are viewed as complex adaptive systems consisting of many boundedly rational agents interacting through simple heterogeneous investment strategies, constantly adapting their behavior in response...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011348701