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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010191413
the variance matrix. Monte Carlo evidence for parameter estimation based on different small sample sizes is provided. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011520881
The sum of squared intraday returns provides an unbiased and almost error-free measure of ex-post volatility. In this … paper we develop a nonlinear Autoregressive Fractionally Integrated Moving Average (ARFIMA) model for realized volatility …, which accommodates level shifts, day-of-the-week effects, leverage effects and volatility level effects. Applying the model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011335205
improved ex-post volatility measurements but has also inspired research into their potential value as an informa-tion source … for longer horizon volatility forecasts. In this paper we explore the forecasting value of these high fre-quency series in … conjunction with a variety of volatility models for returns on the Standard & Poor's 100 stock index. We consider two so …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011326944
. They are applicable to the complete class of observation driven models and are valid for a wide range of estimation … that is embedded in the time-varying parameter path. We illustrate our findings in a volatility analysis for monthly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010484891
In the class of univariate conditional volatility models, the three most popular are the generalized autoregressive … mathematical regularity properties, including invertibility, to determine the likelihood function for estimation, and the … effects on conditional volatility of positive and negative effects of equal magnitude, and possibly also leverage, which is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011688332
One of the most popular univariate asymmetric conditional volatility models is the exponential GARCH (or EGARCH …) specification. In addition to asymmetry, which captures the different effects on conditional volatility of positive and negative … subsequent shocks to volatility. However, there are as yet no statistical properties available for the (quasi-) maximum …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010362978
Of the two most widely estimated univariate asymmetric conditional volatility models, the exponential GARCH (or EGARCH …) specification can capture asymmetry, which refers to the different effects on conditional volatility of positive and negative … shocks to volatility. However, the statistical properties of the (quasi-) maximum likelihood estimator (QMLE) of the EGARCH …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010384390
Of the two most widely estimated univariate asymmetric conditional volatility models, the exponential GARCH (or EGARCH …) specification can capture asymmetry, which refers to the different effects on conditional volatility of positive and negative … shocks to volatility. However, the statistical properties of the (quasi-) maximum likelihood estimator (QMLE) of the EGARCH …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010477092
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009720703