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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010191011
dynamics of higher-order moments, and to the other preferred choice of forecasting distribution. We apply our method to Value-at-Risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010384110
An intensive and still growing body of research focuses on estimating a portfolio’s Value-at-Risk.Depending on both the … orhistorical and Monte Carlo simulation methods. Although these approaches to overall VaR estimation have receivedsubstantial … proposed estimation approach pairs intuitiveappeal with computational efficiency. We evaluate various alternative estimation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011301159
Value-at-Risk (VaR) analysis. We propose a semi-parametric method for VaRevaluation. The largest risks are modelled …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010533206
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010191413
risk forecasts to the appropriate monetary authorities at the beginning of each trading day, using one or more risk models … to measure Value-at-Risk (VaR). The risk estimates of these models are used to determine capital requirements and … estimated VaR. In this paper we define risk management in terms of choosing sensibly from a variety of risk models, discuss the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011378354
We investigate the effect of estimation error on backtests of (multi-period) expected shortfall (ES) forecasts. These … backtests are based on first order conditions of a recently introduced family of jointly consistent loss functions for Value-at-Risk … estimation error, and propose robust tests that account for it. Monte Carlo experiments show that the tests that ignore these …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012057163
the insurance sector. The downside risk of insurers is explicitly modelled by common and idiosyncratic risk factors. Since … reinsurance is important for the capacity of insurers, we measure risk dependence among European insurers and reinsurers. The … results point to a relatively low insurance sector wide risk. Dependence among insurers is higher than among reinsurers. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011349192
rationale behind the bans was that "bear raids", driven by short-sellers, would increase the individual and systemic risk of … specifically target institutions with lower capital levels. Furthermore, institutions' risk-levels and changes in short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010226885
The paper studies risk mitigation associated with capital regulation, in a context when banks may choose tail risk … assets. We show that this undermines the traditional result that higher capital reduces excess risk-taking driven by limited … liability. When capital raising is costly, poorly capitalized banks may limit risk to avoid breaching the minimal capital ratio …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011383199