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finite sample properties of the Lasso by deriving upper bounds on the estimation and prediction errors that are valid with … random walk. We use our model to investigate the monetary policy response to inflation and business cycle fluctuations in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010433901
regime, systematic monetary policy follows a Taylor rule extended by the term spread and is effective in curbing inflation … of the second regime, inflation would be over one percentage point higher on average after 2008. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014422351
, inflation, and bond spread. We empirically identify a time-varying linkage between economic and financial variables which are … effects of financial shocks on output and inflation during crisis and non-crisis periods. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012591572
parameters are allowed to evolve over time via an observation-driven updating equation. The estimation of the resulting DSGE …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011813395
Traditional ways of analyzing the effects of monetary policy shocks via structural vector autoregressions require the use of unrealistic identifying assumptions: they either do not allow for a response of output and prices on impact of the shock, or they exclude contemporaneous values of these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011382001
This paper employs Vector Autoregression (VAR) models to measure the impact of monetary policy shocks on regional …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011386474
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010191084
What could be the drivers of low real rates? What are the implications of the Zero Lower Bound for economic policy? To discuss these questions we introduce a full general equilibrium model of the world economy with a simple (2 period) intertemporal structure. The model is simple enough to allow...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011813425
impact of government spending shocks using time-varying structural VAR techniques. The results show that the short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011380027
innovations and the variables themselves. By formulating the MSVAR as an extended linear non-Gaussian VAR for the combination of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012621564