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Taylor rules with endogenous regimes
Aastveit, Knut Are; Cross, Jamie; Furlanetto, Francesco; … - 2024
The Fed's policy rule switches during the different phases of the business cycle. This finding is established using a dynamic mixture model to estimate regime-dependent Taylor-type rules on US quarterly data from 1960 to 2021. Instead of exogenously partitioning the data based on tenures of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014529386
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A dynamic yield curve model with stochastic volatility and non-Gaussian interactions : an empirical study of non-standard monetary policy in the euro area
Mesters, Geert; Schwaab, Bernd; Koopman, Siem Jan - 2014
model to be extended with stochastic volatility and heavy tailed disturbances. We develop a flexible estimation method for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010362975
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Money supply and the implementation of interest rate targets
Schabert, Andreas - 2005
In this paper, we analyze the relation between interest rate targets and money supply in a (bubble-free) rational expectations equilibrium of a standard cash-in-advance model. We examine lump-sum injections of money aimed to implement interest rate sequences that satisfy interest rate target...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011343954
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Bayesian forecasting of federal funds target rate decisions
Hauwe, Sjoerd van den; Dijk, Dick van; Paap, Richard - 2011
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009720780
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Modeling monetary policy
Reynard, Samuel; Schabert, Andreas - 2009
We develop a macroeconomic framework where money issupplied against only few eligible securities in open marketoperations. The relationship between the policy rate,expected inflation and consumption growth is affected bymoney market conditions, i.e. the varying liquidity value ofeligible assets...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011379357
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Asymmetric gradualism in US monetary policy
Aastveit, Knut Are; Cross, Jamie; Furlanetto, Francesco; … - 2024
The Fed's policy rule shifts during different phases of the business cycle, particularly in relation to monetary easing and tightening phases. This finding is established through a dynamic mixture model, which estimates regime-dependent Taylor-type rules using US quarterly data from 1960 to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015149505
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Banks, money, and the zero lower bound on deposit rates
Kumhof, Michael; Wang, Xuan - 2020
We develop a New Keynesian model where all payments between agents require bank deposits through deposits-in-advance constraints, bank deposits are created through disbursement of bank loans, and banks face a convex lending cost. At the zero lower bound on deposit rates (ZLBD), changes in policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012262361
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Heterogeneous macro and financial effects of ECB asset purchase programs
Zwan, Terri van der; Kole, Erik; Wel, Michel van der - 2021
Central banks resorted to asset purchase programs to replace conventional policy measures, which became ineffective after interest rates approached the zero lower bound. We investigate their effects on financial markets and focus on heterogeneous transmission using a Bayesian structural vector...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012795397
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Debt non-neutrality, policy interactions, and macroeconomic stability
Linnemann, Ludger; Schabert, Andreas - 2005
We study the consequences of non-neutrality of government debt for macroeconomic stabilization policy in an environment where prices are sticky. Assuming transaction services of government bonds, Ricardian equivalence fails because public debt has a negative impact on its marginal rate of return...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011346485
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Nowcasting and forecasting economic growth in the Euro area using principal components
Hindrayanto, Irma; Koopman, Siem Jan; Winter, Jasper de - 2014
specification is most effective in its forecasting performance. Furthermore, the forecast performances of the different … short-term forecasting models. These empirical findings have been established for different macroeconomic data sets and … different forecast horizons. However, various specifications of the factor model exist and it is a topic of debate which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010395082