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improved ex-post volatility measurements but has also inspired research into their potential value as an informa-tion source … for longer horizon volatility forecasts. In this paper we explore the forecasting value of these high fre-quency series in … conjunction with a variety of volatility models for returns on the Standard & Poor's 100 stock index. We consider two so …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011326944
The paper considers the problem as to whether financial returns have a common volatility process in the framework of … stochastic volatility models that were suggested by Harvey et al. (1994). We propose a stochastic volatility version of the ARCH … test proposed by Engle and Susmel (1993), who investigated whether international equity markets have a common volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011441709
This paper considers spot variance path estimation from datasets of intraday high frequency asset prices in the … microstructure noise has an adverse effect on both spot variance estimation and jump detection. In our approach we can analyze high …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011379469
We introduce a new fractionally integrated model for covariance matrix dynamics based on the long-memory behavior of daily realized covariance matrix kernels and daily return observations. We account for fat tails in both types of data by appropriate distributional assumptions. The covariance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011531139
the variance matrix. Monte Carlo evidence for parameter estimation based on different small sample sizes is provided. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011520881
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010494787
vary according to whether they are in low or high volatility regimes. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011479769
To investigate how economies, financial markets or institutions can deal with stress, we nowadays often analyze the effects of shocks conditional on a recession or a bear market. MSVAR models are ideally suited for such analyses because they combine gradual movement with sudden switches. In this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012621564
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010191413
. They are applicable to the complete class of observation driven models and are valid for a wide range of estimation … that is embedded in the time-varying parameter path. We illustrate our findings in a volatility analysis for monthly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010484891