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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009720703
the weighting of lagged squared innovations for the estimation of future correlations and volatilities. When we account …. We provide an empirical illustration for a panel of daily global equity returns. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011380135
the variance matrix. Monte Carlo evidence for parameter estimation based on different small sample sizes is provided. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011520881
This paper disentangles the added value of using high-frequency-based (realized) covariance measures on multivariate volatility forecasting into two pillars: the realized variances and realized correlations and quantifies the corresponding economic gains using a broad set of portfolio...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015064180
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010191280
, which is consistent with policy measures taken by the European Central Bank. The findings are robust to a wide range of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010391531
To study the effect of the euro on international goods trade one typically estimates a panel model for the level of … explain the upward trend. To correct for that, we extend the panel model (a gravity model) by including a time trend that may …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011334328
-driven dynamics. The new models are highly flexible, scalable to high dimensions, and ensure positivity of covariance and correlation … matrices. The model retains a closed-form likelihood expression, thus allowing for straightforward parameter estimation and … likelihood inference. We apply the new model to a large panel of 100 U.S. stocks over the period 2001{2014. The proposed multi …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011979595
This paper provides new evidence on the effects of government spending shocks and the fiscal transmission mechanism in the euro area for the period 1980-2008. Our contribution is two-fold. First, we investigate changes in the macroeconomic impact of government spending shocks using time-varying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011380027
This paper proposes a new model-based method to obtain a coincident indicator for the business cycle. A dynamic factor model with trend components and a common cycle component is considered which can be estimated using standard maximum likelihood methods. The multivariate unobserved components...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011334364