We introduce a statistical test for comparing the predictive accuracy of competing copula specifications in multivariate density forecasts, based on the Kullback-Leibler Information Criterion (KLIC). The test is valid under general conditions: in particular it allows for parameter estimation...

In binary discrete regression models like logit or probit the omis-sion of a relevant regressor (even if it is orthogonal) depresses the re-maining b coefficients towards zero. For the probit model, Wooldridge(2002) has shown that this bias does not carry over to the effect ofthe regressor on...

We examine the asymptotic efficiency of OLS and IV estimators in a simple dynamic structural model with a constant and two explanatory variables: the lagged dependent variable and an explanatory variable, which is also autoregressive and may include lagged or instantaneous feedbacks from the...

We develop a new parameter stability test against the alternative of observation driven generalized autoregressive score dynamics. The new test generalizes the ARCH-LM test of Engle (1982) to settings beyond time-varying volatility and exploits any autocorrelation in the likelihood scores under...