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This note presents the R package bayesGARCH (Ardia, 2007) which provides functions for the Bayesian estimation of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011380176
We investigate the importance of aggregate and consumer-specific or idiosyncratic labour income risk for aggregate consumption changes in the US over the period 1952-2001. Theoretically, the effect of labour income risk on consumption changes is decomposed into an aggregate and into an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011372981
distribution. The second shows the relevance of the adaptive mixture procedure through the Bayesian estimation of a mixture of ARCH …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011376537
We develop a dynamic Bayesian model for clickthrough and conversion probabilities of paid search advertisements. These …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012057153
The ratio of consumption to total household wealth (i.e., tangible assets plus unobserved human wealth) is commonly calculated from the estimation of a log-linear version of the household intertemporal budget constraint as a cointegrating relationship between consumption, assets and earnings...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011844588
This paper provides a structural empirical analysis of Dutch auctions of houseplants at the flower auction in Aalsmeer, the Netherlands. The data set is unique for Dutch auctions in the sense that it includes observations of all losing bids in an interval adjacent to the winning bid. The size of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011372506
This discussion paper led to a publication in 'Computational Statistics & Data Analysis' 56(11), pp. 3398-1414.Important choices for efficient and accurate evaluation of marginal likelihoods by means of Monte Carlo simulation methods are studied for the case of highly non-elliptical posterior...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011377602
We investigate high-frequency volatility models for analyzing intra-day tick by tick stock price changes using Bayesian …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011456723
density of logreturns. Our proposed approach originates from the Bayesian approach to parameter estimation and time series …. This quasi-Bayesian approach yields more precise parameter estimation than a fully censored posterior for all parameters …, and has more focus on the region of interest than a standard Bayesian approach. The second main contribution is that we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012057160
issues exist that involve multimodal data distributions. We propose a Bayesian approach using mixtures distributions to … shapes such as multimodality and long tails. Our simulation-based Bayesian inference treats the density features as random …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012431876