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10 year government bond spreads of Belgium, France, Italy, and the Netherlands versus Germany over the period 1991 … euro implying that the efficiency of the euro area government bond markets under consideration has increased. Full …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011374402
spreads, we use government bond yield data which provide a longer data history. We show that for the more recent sample period … 2008--2015, joint default probabilities based on CDS and bond yield data yield similar results. For the period 1987 …-2008, only the bond yield data can be used to shed light on European sovereign systemic stress. We also show that simple averages …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011531096
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The CDS-bond basis quantifies the difference in risk premia between credit default swap (CDS) and bond markets. It is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015408438
We present a simple macroeconomic model with open market operations that allows examining the effects of quantitative and credit easing. The central bank controls the policy rate, i.e. the price of money in open market operations, as well as the amount and the type of assets that are accepted as...
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reflect expectations of this event. There may exist multiple bond prices compatible with a rational expectations equilibrium …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011379436
Interest rates on public debt have for several years now fallen short of GDP growth rates in much of the Western world. In his presidential address to the AEA Blanchard argued that this implies that there are no fiscal costs to high debt (Blanchard, 2019).1 In this paper we argue that the safe...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012317450
The term structure of interest rates does not adhere to the expectations hypothesis, possibly due to a risk premium. We consider the implications of a risk premium that arises from endogenous market segmentation driven by variable inflation rates. In the absence of autocorrelation in inflation,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010532587