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compares two NN methodologies. First, it uses NNs to forecast regional employment in both the former West and East Germany …
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This paper explores the determinants of deviations of ex-post budget outcomes from first-release outcomes published towards the end of the year of budget implementation. The predictive content of the first-release outcomes is important, because these figures are an input for the next budget and...
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We use Google search data with the aim of predicting unemployment, CPI and consumer confidence for the US, UK, Canada, Germany and Japan. Google search queries have previously proven valuable in predicting macroeconomic variables in an in-sample context. To our knowledge, the more challenging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011987495
different forecast horizons. However, various specifications of the factor model exist and it is a topic of debate which … specification is most effective in its forecasting performance. Furthermore, the forecast performances of the different … depth. We empirically verify the forecast performance of three factor model approaches and report our findings in an …
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