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This paper considers the nature and the distribution of trade and FDI effects of a potential enlargement of the European Monetary Union (EMU) to the 10 countries that obtained EU membership in 2004. One-way and two-way error component gravity models are estimated using a data set of unbalanced...
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There has been a revival of interest in the effect of risk on economic growth. We quantify both ex ante and ex post … effects of risk using a stochastic version of the Ramsey model. We develop a simulation-based econometric methodology which … remarkable long-running panel data set for rural households in Zimbabwe. We find that risk substantially reduces growth: in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011334326
Most measures of vulnerability are a-theoretic and essentially static. In this paper we use a stochastic Ramsey model to find a household's optimal welfare and we measure vulnerability as the shortfall from the welfare attained if the household consumed permanently at the poverty line. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011334363
The risk of investment in schooling has largely been ignored. We assess thevariance in the rate of return by surveying … skewed. Our best guess of ex ante risk in university education is a coefficient ofvariation of about 0.3, comparable to that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011335192
An intensive and still growing body of research focuses on estimating a portfolio’s Value-at-Risk.Depending on both the … orhistorical and Monte Carlo simulation methods. Although these approaches to overall VaR estimation have receivedsubstantial … proposed estimation approach pairs intuitiveappeal with computational efficiency. We evaluate various alternative estimation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011301159
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We build a dynamic general equilibrium model with 2 countries, horizontal and vertical multinational activity and endogenous domestic and foreign investment. It is found that horizontal multinational activity always leads to a complementary relationship between domestic and foreign investment....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011377536