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We develop a new model for the multivariate covariance matrix dynamics based on daily return observations and daily realized covariance matrix kernels based on intraday data. Both types of data may be fat-tailed. We account for this by assuming a matrix-F distribution for the realized kernels,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010364103
We propose a novel multivariate GARCH model that incorporates realized measures for the variance matrix of returns. The key novelty is the joint formulation of a multivariate dynamic model for outer-products of returns, realized variances and realized covariances. The updating of the variance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011520881
This paper disentangles the added value of using high-frequency-based (realized) covariance measures on multivariate volatility forecasting into two pillars: the realized variances and realized correlations and quantifies the corresponding economic gains using a broad set of portfolio...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015064180
conditions have the nice interpretation of restricting the level, slope and curvature of the correlation surface. It is proven … that the Schoenmakers-Coffey correlation matrix also brings along such factors. Finally, we formulate and corroborate our … conjecture that the order present in correlation matrices causes slope. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011346478
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003115925
completely new sequential importance sampling estimator of the desired tail probability. Numerical experiments suggest that the … sequential importance sampling estimator can be significantly more efficient than its competitor. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011431354
correlation MSV model, the conditional/stochastic Wishart autoregressive models, the matrix-exponential MSV model, and the … outperform existing dynamic conditional correlation models for forecasting future covariances. Among the new fMSV models, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010259630
This paper introduces a novel score-driven dynamic factor model designed for filtering cross-sectional co-movements in panels of time series. The model is formulated using elliptical distribution for the noise terms, thus allowing the update of the time-varying parameter to be potentially...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014390430
One of the most widely-used multivariate conditional volatility models is the dynamic conditional correlation (or DCC … rather than a dynamic conditional correlation model; (ii) provides the motivation, which is presently missing, for … standardization of the conditional covariance model to obtain the conditional correlation model; and (iii) shows that the appropriate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010374571
We introduce a new fractionally integrated model for covariance matrix dynamics based on the long-memory behavior of daily realized covariance matrix kernels and daily return observations. We account for fat tails in both types of data by appropriate distributional assumptions. The covariance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011531139