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Using long time series for sovereign bond markets of fifteen industrialized economies from 1875 to 2009, I find that financial market integration by the end of the 20th century was higher than in earlier periods and exhibited a J-shaped trend with a trough in the 1920s. The main reason for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011382994
The increasing availability of financial market data at intraday frequencies has not only led to the development of improved ex-post volatility measurements but has also inspired research into their potential value as an informa-tion source for longer horizon volatility forecasts. In this paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011326944
We document a consistent and robust relation between expected equity premia and common risk factors constructed on the basis of small stocks. Empirically, we show that (i) small-stock components of traditional value and momentum factors capture patterns in returns on regional and global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010224775
We investigate covariance matrix estimation in vast-dimensional spaces of 1,500 up to 2,000 stocks using fundamental … about estimation risk in FFMs in high dimensions. We investigate whether recent linear and non-linear shrinkage methods help … to reduce the estimation risk in the asset return covariance matrix. Our findings indicate that modest improvements are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011949129
Recent empirical evidence suggests that value and momentum strategies generate significantexcess returns in emerging markets. We confirm these results and extend them in severaldirections. First, we examine a broader range of stock selection strategies, including strategiesbased on analysts'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011313928
Central banks resorted to asset purchase programs to replace conventional policy measures, which became ineffective after interest rates approached the zero lower bound. We investigate their effects on financial markets and focus on heterogeneous transmission using a Bayesian structural vector...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012795397
This paper investigates the contribution of private and public channels for consumption risk sharing in the EMU over the period 1999-2015. In particular, we explore the role of financial integration versus international financial assistance for private consumption smoothing in this set of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011688776
The sum of squared intraday returns provides an unbiased and almost error-free measure of ex-post volatility. In this paper we develop a nonlinear Autoregressive Fractionally Integrated Moving Average (ARFIMA) model for realized volatility, which accommodates level shifts, day-of-the-week...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011335205
-specific and Europe-wide risk factors. The estimation results indicate a high, time-varying degree of spatial spillovers in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010491085
Most stock exchange regulators around the world reacted to the 2007-2009 crisis byimposing bans or regulatory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011382070