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In this paper we study the implications of population ageing in an economy with a sizeable non-traded goods sector. To this effect a highly stylized micro-founded macro model is constructed in which the age structure of the population plays a non-trivial role. The model distinguishes separate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011343315
This essay links some of my own work on expectations, learning and bounded rationality to the inspiring ideas of Jean …-Michel Grandmont. In particular, my work on consistent expectations and behavioral learning equilibria may be seen as formalizations of … JMG's ideas of self-fulfilling mistakes. Some of our learning-to-forecast laboratory experiments with human subjects have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011590425
above the expected growth rate of the economy and when thegovernment has a lifetime perspective of the risk exposure. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011376622
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009784943
We explore the feasibility of a funded pension system with intergenerational risk sharing when participation in the … increases with risk aversion and financial market uncertainty. We find that it is likely that mandatory participation is … necessary to sustain a funded pension pillar and to let participants benefit from intergenerational risk sharing. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011386164
This paper examines the optimal allocation of risk across generations whose savings mix is subject to illiquidity in … thus lowers the benefits of risk-sharing. Higher illiquidity then may justify higher levels of risk sharing to compensate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013175574
Different theories of expectation formation and learning usually yield different outcomes for realized market prices in … dynamic models. The purpose of this paper is to investigate expectation formation and learning in a controlled experimental …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011333266
We develop a theoretical framework for studying the effects of interaction on the quaJity of decision-making by monetary policy committees. We show that interaction, i.e. increasing one's expertise through an exchange of views, is most likely not to result in interdependent voting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011334835
We study social learning in a social network setting where agents receive independent noisy signals about the truth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011801379
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010191021