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The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS) (2013) recently proposed shifting the quantitative risk metrics system from Value-at-Risk (VaR) to Expected Shortfall (ES). The BCBS (2013) noted that - a number of weaknesses have been identified with using VaR for determining regulatory capital...
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. Our results apply to stationary and ergodic time series. In a simulation study we show that our asymptotic theory provides …
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We examine the impact of temporal and portfolio aggregation on the quality of Value-at-Risk (VaR) forecasts over a horizon of ten trading days for a well-diversified portfolio of stocks, bonds and alternative investments. The VaR forecasts are constructed based on daily, weekly or biweekly...
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-memory stochastic volatility models, testing for independence between functional time series, statistical inference for panel dynamic …
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The Basel II Accord requires that banks and other Authorized Deposit-taking Institutions (ADIs) communicate their daily risk forecasts to the appropriate monetary authorities at the beginning of each trading day, using one or more risk models to measure Value-at-Risk (VaR). The risk estimates of...
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dynamics adapts to the non-normal nature of financial data, which helps to robustify the volatility estimates. The new model … volatility forecasting of stock returns and exchange rates. …
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