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Common sense is a dynamic concept and it is natural that our (statistical) common sense lags behind the development of statistical science. What is not so easy to understand is why common sense lags behind as much as it does. We conduct a survey among Japanese students and try to understand why...
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Critics of modern macroeconomics often raise concerns about unwarranted welfare conclusions and data mining. This paper illustrates these concerns with a thought experiment, based on the debate in environmental economics about the appropriate discount rate in climate change analyses: I set up an...
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The purpose of this paper is to provide an analysis of the impact the UV-curve had on economic theory and to provide an … changing role is best understood in the light of a paradigmatic change from Keynesianism to neoclassical search theory. …
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Gauss' 1809 discussion of least squares, which can be viewed as the beginning of mathematical statistics, is reviewed. The general consensus seems to be that Gauss' arguments are at fault, but we show that his reasoning is in fact correct, given his self-imposed restrictions, and persuasive...
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Biases theory of Kahneman and Tversky. It is proposed that Gigerenzer's work can be both thematically and chronologically …
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