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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010191011
We estimate a dynamic asset pricing model characterized by heterogeneous boundedly rational agents. The fundamental value of the risky asset is publicly available to all agents, but they have different beliefs about the persistence of deviations of stock prices from the fundamental benchmark. An...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011343265
In this paper we consider two cases of pairs trading strategies: a conditional statistical arbitrage method and an … implicit statistical arbitrage method. We use a simulation-based Bayesian procedure for predicting stable ratios, defined in a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010259626
. Real option theory argues that research projects with conditional phases have option-like risk and return properties, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011373815
We investigate the effect of estimation error on backtests of (multi-period) expected shortfall (ES) forecasts. These backtests are based on first order conditions of a recently introduced family of jointly consistent loss functions for Value-at-Risk (VaR) and ES. We provide explicit expressions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012057163
The Basel II Accord requires that banks and other Authorized Deposit-taking Institutions (ADIs) communicate their daily risk forecasts to the appropriate monetary authorities at the beginning of each trading day, using one or more risk models to measure Value-at-Risk (VaR). The risk estimates of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011378354
In recent years the Value at Risk (VaR) concept for measuringdownside risk has been widelystudied. VaR basically is a summary statistic that quantifies theexposure of an asset or portfolio tomarket risk, or the risk that a position declines in value withadverse market price changes. Threeparties...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011301166
Internationally operating firrns naturally face the decision whether or not to hedge the currencyrisk implied by foreign investments. In a recent paper, Bos, Mahieu and van Dijk (2000) evaluatethe returns from optimal and alternative currency hedging strategies, for a series of 7 models,using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011313920
An expected utility based cost-benefit analysis is in general fragile to its distributional assumptions. We derive necessary and sufficient conditions on the utility function of the expected utility model to avoid this. The conditions ensure that expected (marginal) utility remains finite also...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010412466
. Our results apply to stationary and ergodic time series. In a simulation study we show that our asymptotic theory provides …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011622915