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An analysis of about 300000 earnings forecasts, created by 18000 individual forecasters for earnings of over 300 S&P listed firms, shows that these forecasts are predictable to a large extent using a statistical model that includes publicly available information. When we focus on the...
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after controlling for realized earnings, wealth and time-invariant unobserved characteristics such as permanent income and …
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In this paper, we document that households' consumption expenditures depend on their expected earnings - even after controlling for realized earnings and wealth. To explain this evidence, we develop and structurally estimate a standard-incomplete markets model in which rational households...
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We investigate whether US households possess advance information about their future income and what this means for … requires only panel data on consumption and income. Using the Panel Study of Income Dynamics, we find-in contrast to the … incomplete markets model and find that advance information reduces households' income forecast errors by 15%. Our estimation …
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This paper explores the relationship between disclosing corporate targets and value creation. Our empirical results show the value relevance of voluntarily disclosing a low number of targets, whereas there is a clear additional positive effect of disclosing exactly one corporate target in the...
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