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Booms, busts and behavioural heterogeneity in stock prices

Hommes, Cars H.; Veld, Daan in't - 2015 - This draft: July 2015

We empirically evaluate a behavioural model with boundedly rational traders who disagree about the persistence of deviations from the fundamental stock price. Fundamentalist traders believe in mean-reversion, while chartists extrapolate trends. Agents gradually switch between the two rules,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011301214

Speed, algorithmic trading, and market quality around macroeconomic news announcements

Scholtus, Martin L.; Dijk, Dick van; Frijns, Bart - 2012

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009724343

Need for speed? : exchange latency and liquidity

Menkveld, Albert J.; Zoican, Marius A. - 2014

Speeding up the exchange does not necessarily improve liquidity. The price quotes of high-frequency market makers are more likely to meet speculative high-frequency "bandits", thus less likely to meet liquidity traders. The bid-ask spread is raised in response. The recursive dynamic model...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010384388

Secular stagnation, rational bubbles, and fiscal policy

Teulings, Coen N. - 2016

It is well known that rational bubbles can be sustained in balanced growth path of a deterministic economy when the … return to capital r is equal to the growth rate g. When there is a lack of stores of value, bubbles can implement an … capital. Then, bubbles further efficiency, though they cannot implement first best. While bubbles can only be sustained when r …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011540632

Behavioral heterogeneity in stock prices

Boswijk, Herman Peter; Hommes, Cars H.; Manzan, Sebastiano - 2005

We estimate a dynamic asset pricing model characterized by heterogeneous boundedly rational agents. The fundamental value of the risky asset is publicly available to all agents, but they have different beliefs about the persistence of deviations of stock prices from the fundamental benchmark. An...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011343265

Quantitative easing and exuberance in government bond markets : evidence from the ECB's Expanded Assets Purchase Program

Droes, Martijn; Lamoen, Ryan C. R. van; Mattheussens, Simona - 2017 - This version: 25 August 2017

This paper examines whether the ECB's Quantitative Easing (QE) policy is causing government bond prices to deviate from their fundamental value. We use a recent advance in the methodology to measure exuberant price behavior in financial time series introduced by Phillips et al. (2015). We extend...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011715916

Short-selling bans around the world : evidence from the 2007 - 09 crisis

Beber, Alessandro; Pagano, Marco - 2010

Most stock exchange regulators around the world reacted to the 2007-2009 crisis byimposing bans or regulatory constraints on short-selling. Short-selling restrictions wereimposed and lifted at different dates in different countries, often applied to different sets ofstocks and featured different...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011382070

A meta-analysis of the equity premium

Ewijk, Casper van; Groot, Henri L. F. de; Santing, Coos - 2010

The equity premium is a key parameter in asset allocation policies. There is a vigorous debate in the literature regarding the actual measurement of the equity premium, its size and the determinants of its variation. This study aims to take stock of this literature by means of a meta-analysis....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011381035

What option prices tell us about the ECB's unconventional monetary policies

Olijslagers, Stan; Petersen, Annelie; Vette, Nander de; … - 2018

We use a series of different approaches to extract information about crash risk from option prices for the Euro-Dollar exchange rate, with each step sharpening the focus on extracting more specific measures of crash risk around dates of ECB measures of Unconventional Monetary Policy. Several...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011940034

Identifying booms and busts in house prices under heterogeneous expectations

Bolt, Wilko; Demertzis, Maria; Diks, Cees G. H.; … - 2014

identify temporary house price bubbles, amplified by trend extrapolation, and crashes reinforced by fundamentalists. The …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010465137

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