Showing 1 - 10 of 2,762
Estimation using simulation techniques may be very time consuming. Specification tests for structuralstability often … volatility model for theS&P500. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010339446
the variance matrix. Monte Carlo evidence for parameter estimation based on different small sample sizes is provided. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011520881
. They are applicable to the complete class of observation driven models and are valid for a wide range of estimation … that is embedded in the time-varying parameter path. We illustrate our findings in a volatility analysis for monthly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010484891
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000968763
To investigate how economies, financial markets or institutions can deal with stress, we nowadays often analyze the effects of shocks conditional on a recession or a bear market. MSVAR models are ideally suited for such analyses because they combine gradual movement with sudden switches. In this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012621564
expected earnings shock and its volatility, and establish properties of investor behavior on the stock price and its volatility … during financial crises and subsequent recovery. Thereafter, we develop properties to explain excess volatility, short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011441491
We revisit Wintenberger (2013) on the continuous invertibility of the EGARCH(1,1) model. We note that the definition of continuous invertibility adopted in Wintenberger (2013) may not always be sufficient to deliver strong consistency of the QMLE. We also take the opportunity to provide other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011401308
This paper describes a forecasting exercise of close-to-open returns on major global stock indices, based on price patterns from foreign markets that have become available overnight. As the close-to-open gap is a scalar response variable to a functional variable, it is natural to focus on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011379456
This paper considers spot variance path estimation from datasets of intraday high frequency asset prices in the … microstructure noise has an adverse effect on both spot variance estimation and jump detection. In our approach we can analyze high …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011379469
improved ex-post volatility measurements but has also inspired research into their potential value as an informa-tion source … for longer horizon volatility forecasts. In this paper we explore the forecasting value of these high fre-quency series in … conjunction with a variety of volatility models for returns on the Standard & Poor's 100 stock index. We consider two so …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011326944