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dynamic factor and a vector autoregressive model and includes stochastic volatility, denoted by FAVAR-SV. Next, a Bayesian … risk features like volatility and largest loss, which indicates that complete densities provide useful information for risk. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011563065
expected earnings shock and its volatility, and establish properties of investor behavior on the stock price and its volatility … during financial crises and subsequent recovery. Thereafter, we develop properties to explain excess volatility, short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011441491
This paper applies the dichotomous theory of choice by Zou (2000a) tothe analysis of investmentstrategies and security …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011304380
Empirical measures of world consumption growth risk have failed to rationalize the cross-section of country equity returns. We propose a new factor, termed "the global consumption factor", to explain the patterns in risk premiums on international equity markets. We identify this factor as the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010362976
This paper investigates the merits of high-frequency intraday data when forming minimum variance portfolios and minimum tracking error portfolios with daily rebalancing from the individual constituents of the S&P 100 index. We focus on the issue of determining the optimal sampling frequency,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011346450
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009767001
This paper utilizes a very simple model to study the timing and determinants of speculationagainst a fixed exchange rate regime when investors are heterogeneous because of locationaldifferences. Location matters because resident players may incur smaller costs when takinga short-position, are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011326412
volatility forecasting into two pillars: the realized variances and realized correlations and quantifies the corresponding …% and at least 78%). The results on the GMV portfolios show that realized covariance models exhibit lower ex-post volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015064180
When analysing the volatility related to high frequency financial data, mostly non-parametric approaches based on … stochastic volatility. Estimation of the model delivers measures of daily variation outperforming their non …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011374428
We use a series of different approaches to extract information about crash risk from option prices for the Euro-Dollar exchange rate, with each step sharpening the focus on extracting more specific measures of crash risk around dates of ECB measures of Unconventional Monetary Policy. Several...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011940034