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We propose a novel and numerically efficient quantification approach to forecast uncertainty of the real price of oil using a combination of probabilistic individual model forecasts. Our combination method extends earlier approaches that have been applied to oil price forecasting, by allowing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012545165
We propose a novel and numerically efficient quantification approach to forecast uncertainty of the real price of oil using a combination of probabilistic individual model forecasts. Our combination method extends earlier approaches that have been applied to oil price forecasting, by allowing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012795319
We show that OPEC's market power contributes to global warming by enabling producers of relatively expensive and dirty oil to start producing before OPEC reserves are depleted. We fully characterize the equilibrium of a cartel-fringe model and use a calibration to examine the importance of this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011773005
Recent research shows that efforts to limit climate change should focus on reducing emissions of carbon dioxide over other greenhouse gases or air pollutants. Many countries are paying substantial attention to carbon emissions to improve air quality and public health. The largest source of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011658757
explain the gender gap in competitiveness. Experiment 1 studies whether stress responses (measured with salivary cortisol and … cold-pressor task. We find no causal effect of stress on competitiveness for the sample as a whole and only tentative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010532607
contraceptives to determine the importance of sex hormones in explaining gender differences in competitiveness. Participants in a … of progesterone on competitiveness and our results therefore provide a partial biological explanation for gender … differences in competitiveness. We consider three possible indirect pathways through which sex hormones could affect …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011378957
Recently the notion and the measurement of destination competitiveness have received increasing attention in the … subject of this paper - inspired by the conceptual competitiveness model developed earlier by Crouch and Ritchie - concerns … tourist site competitiveness in terms of its technical efficiency using parametric and non-parametric methods, a stochastic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011349706