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earnings forecasters, we see that small adjustments to the model forecasts lead to more forecast accuracy. Based on past track …
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forecasts improves the forecast accuracy, and in particular new models with power transformations of weather forecast variables …
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Recent empirical evidence suggests that value and momentum strategies generate significantexcess returns in emerging markets. We confirm these results and extend them in severaldirections. First, we examine a broader range of stock selection strategies, including strategiesbased on analysts'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011313928
conditional volatilities and correlations, the distribution for the innovations and the method of forecast construction. We find … smaller. The differences from the model, distribution and forecast choices are also smaller compared to temporal aggregation. …
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the forecast combination methodology of Casarin, Grassi, Ravazzolo and Van Dijk(2016). Given the complexity of the non …
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In this paper we consider two cases of pairs trading strategies: a conditional statistical arbitrage method and an implicit statistical arbitrage method. We use a simulation-based Bayesian procedure for predicting stable ratios, defined in a cointegration model, of pairs of stock prices. We show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010259626
theoretical performance guarantees on the forecast capability of our procedure. To be precise, we show that we can forecast future … margin at the longer forecast horizons. Finally, we investigate the economic value of our forecasts in a portfolio selection …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010433899