Showing 1 - 10 of 2,462
We study a two-stage R&D project with an abandonment option. Two types of uncertainty influence the decision to start R …&D. Demand uncertainty is modelled as a lottery between a proportional increase and decrease in demand. Technical uncertainty is … modelled as a lottery between a decrease and increase in the cost to continue R&D. We relate differences in uncertainty to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011378299
We investigate the major choice of college graduates where we make choice dependent on expected initial wages and expected wage growth per major. We build a model that allows us to estimate these factors semiparametrically and that corrects for selection bias. We estimate the model on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012228687
their risk aversion parameter invest less in risky assets than wealthy investors with identical risk aversion uncertainty. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011382430
Many empirical studies on intertemporal choice report preference reversals in the sensethat a preference between a small reward to be received soon and a larger reward to bereceived later reverses as both rewards are equally delayed. Such preference reversals arecommonly interpreted as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011379439
Common sense is a dynamic concept and it is natural that our (statistical) common sense lags behind the development of statistical science. What is not so easy to understand is why common sense lags behind as much as it does. We conduct a survey among Japanese students and try to understand why...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012795343
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000937915
In this paper we perform a meta-analysis on empirical estimates of the impact between investment and uncertainty. Since … transformed into marginal effects, in order to represent the changes in the probability of finding a negative significant … can explain to a large extent why empirical estimates of the investment-uncertainty relationship differ. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011349194
Travelers often are incompletely informed about travel alternatives, which has important implications for various domains of travel behavior such as whether or not to make a trip, modal choice, the timing of a trip or route choice. During the last decade large efforts have been made to increase...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011382086
This paper distinguishes uncertainty types that differ continuously with respect to the degree to which uncertainty … uncertainty types can lead to quite special results. Monopoly examples of the newsboy problem type are further used to show that … depends crucially on the type of uncertainty and the employed functional forms for utilities and costs. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010532588
We propose a novel and numerically efficient quantification approach to forecast uncertainty of the real price of oil …-varying forecast uncertainty and risk for the real price of oil over the period 1974-2018. We show that the combination approach …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012795319