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cointegration are provided. As a first application, we give analyticalcorroboration of the conjecture that the finite sample … coefficient. Hence, the notionof near cointegration helps to bridge the gap between the polar cases ofspurious regression and … cointegration. Secondly, we characterize theproperties of conventional cointegration methods under near cointegration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011300555
with the underlyingtheory. Based on a panel version of the Engle and Granger (1987) two-stepprocedure we find that the … residuals of our pooled estimated modelare stationary. This indicates that on a pooled time series levelthere is cointegration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011299983
Mundlak (1978) proposed the addition of time averages to the usual panel equation in order to remove the fixed effects … Section 4 we demonstrate that in this extended setup Probit - estimation on panel data sets does not pose a specific problem …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011337153
. Additionally, we consider situations where the regressors exhibit unit roots, thus delving into a nonlinear cointegration framework …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014335549
We present a model for hourly electricity load forecasting based on stochastically time-varying processes that are designed to account for changes in customer behaviour and in utility production efficiencies. The model is periodic: it consists of different equations and different parameters for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011373810
This paper proposes a score-driven model for filtering time-varying causal parameters through the use of instrumental variables. In the presence of suitable instruments, we show that we can uncover dynamic causal relations between variables, even in the presence of regressor endogeneity which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014496538
Panel Data model. We discuss issues involved when drawing Bayesian inference on regression parameters and variance …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011349180
The environmental Kuznets curve predicts an inverted U-shaped relationship between air pollution and economic growth. Current analyses frequently employ models that restrict nonlinearities in the data to be explained by economic growth only. We propose a Global Trend Augmented Cointegrating...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013463979
This paper features an analysis of the cointegration relationships among agricultural commodity, ethanol and Cushing … cointegration and Markov-switching VECM and Impulse Response Analysis, confirms that these markets have significant linkages which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011479769
Unobserved components time series models decompose a time series into a trend, a season, a cycle, an irregular disturbance, and possibly other components. These models have been successfully applied to many economic time series. The standard assumption of a linear model, often appropriate after...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011374413