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This paper uses Reuters exchange rate data to investigate thecontributions to the price discovery process by individual banks in theforeign exchange market. We propose multivariate time series models aswell as models in tick time to study the dynamic relations between thequotes of individual...
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Central banks with an exchange rate objective set the interest rate in response to what they call "pressure." Instead, existing interest rate rules rely on the exchange rate minus its target. To stay closer to actual policy, we introduce a rule that uses exchange market pressure (EMP), the...
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. The methodology is hybrid because it combines a formaltesting procedure with volatility curve pattern recognition based …
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provide a theoretical justification of the use of random subspace methods and show their usefulness when forecasting monthly … used to construct a forecast. Second, we discuss random projection regression, where artificial predictors are formed by … randomly weighting the original predictors. Using recent results from random matrix theory, we obtain a tight bound on the mean …
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In this paper we present an exact maximum likelihood treatment forthe estimation of a Stochastic Volatility in Mean …(SVM) model based on Monte Carlo simulation methods. The SVM modelincorporates the unobserved volatility as anexplanatory variable … Stochastic Volatility (SV)model. However, efficient Monte Carlo simulationmethods for SV models have been developed to overcome …
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