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Time-varying identification of monetary policy shocks
Camehl, Annika; Woźniak, Tomasz - 2023
We propose a new Bayesian heteroskedastic Markov-switching structural vector autoregression with data-driven time-varying identification. The model selects alternative exclusion restrictions over time and, as a condition for the search, allows to verify identification through heteroskedasticity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014422351
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Evidence on a real business cycle model with neutral and investment-specific technology shocks using Bayesian model averaging
Strachan, Rodney W.; Dijk, Herman K. van - 2010
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003974036
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Evidence on a real business cycle model with neutral and investment-specific technology shocks using Bayesian model averaging
Strachan, Rodney W.; Dijk, Herman K. van - 2010 - Version 17 May 2010
) processes. The linear VAR model is extendedto permit cointegration, a range of deterministic processes, equilibrium restrictions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011380727
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The monetary exchange rate model as a long-run phenomenon
Groen, Jan J. J. - 1998
pooled timeseries estimation on a forward-looking monetary model, resulting inparameter estimates which are in compliance … residuals of our pooled estimated modelare stationary. This indicates that on a pooled time series levelthere is cointegration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011299983
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Likelihood-based cointegration analysis in panels of vector error correction models
Groen, Jan J. J.; Kleibergen, Frank - 1999 - This version: July 28, 1999
We propose in this paper a likelihood-based framework forcointegration analysis in panels of a fixed number of vector errorcorrection models. Maximum likelihood estimators of thecointegrating vectors are constructed using iterated GeneralizedMethod of Moments estimators. Using these estimators...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011302148
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Interest rate rules and macroeconomic stability under heterogeneous expectations
Anufriev, Mikhail; Assenza, Tiziana; Hommes, Cars H.; … - 2009
The recent macroeconomic literature stresses the importance of managing heterogeneous expectations in the formulation of monetary policy. We use a stylized macro model of Howitt (1992) to investigate inflation dynamics under alternative interest rate rules when agents have heterogeneous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011378358
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Optimal hedging with the Vector Autoregressive model
Gatarek, Lukasz; Johansen, Søren - 2014
with general cointegration rank. Our hedge is optimal in the sense of minimum variance portfolio. We consider a model that … correlation and cointegration parameters. For short holding periods the correlation impact is predominant. For long horizons, the … hedge ratio should overweight the cointegration parameters rather then short-run correlation information. In the innite …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010244526
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Interest rate rules, exchange market pressure, and successful exchange rate management
Klaassen, Franc; Mavromatis, Kostas - 2016
Central banks with an exchange rate objective set the interest rate in response to what they call "pressure." Instead, existing interest rate rules rely on the exchange rate minus its target. To stay closer to actual policy, we introduce a rule that uses exchange market pressure (EMP), the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011479735
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Banks, money, and the zero lower bound on deposit rates
Kumhof, Michael; Wang, Xuan - 2020
We develop a New Keynesian model where all payments between agents require bank deposits through deposits-in-advance constraints, bank deposits are created through disbursement of bank loans, and banks face a convex lending cost. At the zero lower bound on deposit rates (ZLBD), changes in policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012262361
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Taylor rules with endogenous regimes
Aastveit, Knut Are; Cross, Jamie; Furlanetto, Francesco; … - 2024
The Fed's policy rule switches during the different phases of the business cycle. This finding is established using a dynamic mixture model to estimate regime-dependent Taylor-type rules on US quarterly data from 1960 to 2021. Instead of exogenously partitioning the data based on tenures of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014529386