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This paper investigates the international spillovers of government debt and the associated risk of inflation within a … inflation at the cost of the funded country. In response to these conflicting interests about inflation, inflation risk may rise … with the level of debt in the PAYG country. Higher inflation risk harms both countries. Actually, in contrast to the debt …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011382085
crisis is empirically examined. The standard model for themonetary analysis of inflation, i.e. the P-Star model by Hallman … long run dynamics of CPI inflation inIndonesia remarkably weIl. Hence, there is an empirical support for the assertion that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011343263
estimates. The research period has been characterised by high labour demand, negative supply shocks, high levels of inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014541860
We discuss the timing and strength of the Fed's reaction to the recent inflation surge within an estimated … macroeconomic model where long-run inflation expectations are heterogeneous and can lose their anchoring to the target. The … resulting inflation scare worsens the real cost of disinflation. We derive a closed-form solution that retains the entire time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015191492
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010191432
We investigate changes in the time series characteristics of postwar U.S. inflation. In a model-based analysis the … conditional mean of inflation is specified by a long memory autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average process and the … efficient estimates of the parameters using a monthly dataset of core inflation for which we consider different subsamples of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011373822
, notwithstanding that inflation in some countries tends to converge towards the euro area level. Overa11, inflation persistence has …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011327545
concerned with themodelling and forecasting of two U.S. macroeconomic time series:inflation and industrial production. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011327834
applied to quarterly and monthly US inflation in an empirical study. We find that the persistence of quarterly inflation has … and density forecasts for monthly US inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011809984
the Phillips curve over time. We consider different specifications and different measures for inflation. Furthermore, we ….S. headline inflation has remained empirically relevant over the years. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012665848