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volatility processes. This is called a GSSF-SV model. We show that conventional MCMC algorithms for this type of model are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011334849
We investigate high-frequency volatility models for analyzing intra-day tick by tick stock price changes using Bayesian … estimation procedures. Our key interest is the extraction of intra-day volatility patterns from high-frequency integer price … distributions. We allow for stochastic volatility by modeling the variance as a stochastic function of time, with intra-day periodic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011456723
accounts for time variation in macroeconomic volatility, known as the great moderation. In particular, we consider an … volatility processes and mixture distributions for the irregular components and the common cycle disturbances enable us to … that time-varying volatility is only present in the a selection of idiosyncratic components while the coefficients driving …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011376640
common belief, the auction prices for gas storage are mostly affected by the volatility of current market prices rather than … with the volatility of the spot market. This is an intuitive result because storage capacity can serve as an effective …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011333083
We introduce a dynamic Skellam model that measures stochastic volatility from high-frequency tick-by-tick discrete … series per day varies from 1000 to 10,000. Complexities in the intraday dynamics of volatility and in the frequency of trades … intraday volatility shows that the dynamic modified Skellam model provides accurate forecasts compared to alternative modeling …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011295740
In this paper we compare the predictive abilility of Stochastic Volatility (SV)models to that of volatility forecasts … implied by option prices. We develop anSV model with implied volatility as an exogeneous var able in the varianceequation … stochastic shocks incorporated in the SVXmodels. The out-of-sample volatility forecasts are evaluated against dailysquared …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011304384
simulation algorithm exists for this process, at present this is not the case for the Heston stochastic volatility model, where …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011349176
At the time of writing this article, Fourier inversion is the computational method of choice for a fast and accurate calculation of plain vanilla option prices in models with an analytically available characteristic function. Shifting the contour of integration along the complex plane allows for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011349177
The characteristic functions of many affine jump-diffusion models, such as Heston’s stochastic volatility model and all …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011349189
While the stochastic volatility (SV) generalization has been shown to improvethe explanatory power compared to the … then investigate the respectiveeffect of stochastic interest rate, systematic volatility and idiosyncraticvolatility on … thesystematc volatility of the consumption process, our estimation results suggestthat the short-term interest rate fails to be a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011284060