Showing 11 - 20 of 194
This paper aims to provide a theory of current account adjustment that generalizes the textbook version of the … that are consistent with the theory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465262
Crony capitalism and self-fulfilling expectations by international creditors are often suggested as two rival explanations for currency crisis. This paper examines a possible linkage between the two that has not been explored much in the literature: corruption may affect a country's composition...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470539
The empirical literature on contagion has mainly measured the propagation of shocks across countries using daily stock markets, interest rates, and exchange rates. Several methodologies have been used for this purpose, however, the properties of the data introduces important limitations on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470611
This paper offers a new interpretation of the connection between openness and good governance. Assuming that corruption and bad governance drive out international trade and investment more than domestic trade and investment, a naturally more open economy' as determined by its size and geography...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470985
In this paper I offer an alternative identification assumption that allows one to test for changing patterns regarding the international propagation of shocks when endogenous variables, omitted variables, and heteroskedasticity are present in the data. Using this methodology, I demonstrate that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471430
A puzzle in empirical international finance is the difficulty in finding a large and negative effect of exchange rate volatility on international trade. A common explanation is the availability of hedging instruments. This paper examines the empirical validity of this explanation using data on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472072
Continental trade blocs are emerging in many parts of the world almost in tandem. If trade blocs are required to … reduction of trade barriers against non-member countries. That may not be politically feasible. On the other hand, in a world of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473603
The paper studies the effect of the market's perceived exchange rate volatility on bid-ask spreads. The anticipated volatility is extracted from currency options data. An increase in the perceived volatility is found to widen bid-ask spreads. The direction of the effect is consistent with an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474188
We develop a new targeted maximum likelihood estimation method that provides improved forecasting for misspecified linear autoregressive models. The method weighs data points in the observed sample and is useful in the presence of data generating processes featuring structural breaks, complex...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012416341
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002520119