The aim of this paper is to analyze and estimate salient characteristics of unemployment dynamics. Movements in … unemployment are viewed as "chain reactions" of responses to labor market shocks, working their way through systems of interacting … aggregate measures of unemployment responses to temporary and permanent shocks. These measures are temporal (depicting how long …

We combine micro and macro unemployment duration data to study the effects of the business cycle on the outflow from … unemployment. We allow the cycle to affect individual exit probabilities of unemployed workers as well as the composition of the … total inflow into unemployment. We estimate the model using (micro) survey data and (macro) administrative data from France …

This paper challenges what is the standard account of UK unemployment, namely that the major swings in unemployment … unemployment are due, instead, to very prolonged after-effects of persistent (transitory but long-lasting) shocks. We argue that (a …) past UK labour market shocks have prolonged after-effects on unemployment due to interactions among different lagged …

The analysis provides a new explanation for two widespread problems concerning European unemployment policy: the … disappointingly small effect of many past reform measures on unemployment, and the political difficulties in implementing more … implement broad-based reform strategies. Our analysis suggests that major unemployment policies are characterised by economic …