disaggregate unemployment and in the cross-sectional differences across individuals of the duration of unemployment spells. The …-space model of Ahn and Hamilton (2016). I found that the contribution of each factor to the dynamics of disaggregate unemployment …

This paper discusses various concepts of unemployment rate benchmarks that are frequently used by policymakers for … particular, we propose two broad categories of unemployment rate benchmarks: (1) a longer-run unemployment rate expected to … prevail after adjusting to business cycle shocks and (2) a stable-price unemployment rate tied to inflationary pressures. We …

German unemployment in the long term, and the cyclical sensitivity of the unemployment experience across demographic groups …. The analysis moves beyond that of unemployment rates to a detailed investigation of transition rates from employment to … unemployment and vice versa. While long-term differences across demographic groups are dominating the structure of both job loss …

Fluctuations in upside risks to unemployment over the medium term are examined using quantile regressions. U ….S. experience reveals an elevated risk of large increases in unemployment when inflation or credit growth is high and when the … unemployment rate is low. Inflation was a significant contributor to unemployment risk in the 1970s and early 1980s, and …

higher wages. This increases firms' incentives to post more vacancies, which makes unemployment volatile and sensitive to … aggregate shocks. The model is robust to two major criticisms of existing theories of sluggish wages and volatile unemployment … explains 70% of unemployment volatility …

real wages and low unemployment result. With an intermediate view, i.e. when partial equilibrium effects within a sector … are taken into account, high real wages and unemployment result. If all general equilibrium effects are considered at once …, low real wages and low unemployment again result. The assumption that unions and employers' federations are not able to …

In this paper, we present a matching model with adverse selection that explains why flows into and out of unemployment …