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-related variables accounts for changes (rises) in the Okun's parameter in the US in recent decades. Accordingly, the unemployment gap is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012135950
We evaluate the effects of permanently reducing labour tax rates in the euro area (EA) by simulating a large-scale open economy dynamic general equilibrium model. The model features the EA as a monetary union, split in two regions (Home and the rest of the EA - REA), the US, and the rest of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011792134
This paper develops a model with multiple steady states (low tax and unemployment rate versus high tax and unemployment … European unemployment rates observed during the seventies. The explanation given is that even if the unemployment rate would … job creation remains low making the return to a low unemployment rate impossible. The paper shows that in some cases …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635968
supranational unemployment insurance scheme. The model is calibrated to the euro area's core and periphery and features a rich …-regional correlation of unemployment and in ation increases by up to 52% and 27%, respectively, compared to the decentralised setting. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012241162
surrounding the effects of rule-based monetary policy on unemployment dynamics in the euro area and the US. We employ a Bayesian … policy ; model uncertainty ; Bayesian model averaging ; unemployment gap ; Taylor rule …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003963762
This paper analyses how labour market heterogeneity affects unemployment, productivity and business cycle dynamics that … unskilled workers. Skill mismatch and skill-specific labour market institutions have three main effects on business cycles and … skilled workers increases the natural rate of unemployment and reduces total factor productivity with long- run effects on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012880717
at risk in the euro area and in the United States. We model the asymmetry of the shocks to changes in the unemployment … the unemployment rate displays time-varying volatility and skewness, with peaks coinciding with the Global Financial … risk defined as the possible joint event of large increases in the unemployment rate and large annual rates of inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014362647
with a SVAR model by inspecting how unemployment responds to the state of the economy. We show that deviations from Okun …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013332832
This paper assesses the relative importance of perceived obstacles to hiring workers on a permanent basis faced by EU firms and studies how they depend on firm's characteristics. Findings suggest that the main obstacles to hiring in Europe are high uncertainty, shortage of skilled labour, high...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011856489
capable to generate business ßuctuations, driven by self-fulÞlling belief, characterised by unemployment persistence. A …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635902