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We develop a new dynamic factor model that allows us to jointly characterize global macroeconomic and financial cycles and the spillovers between them. The model decomposes macroeconomic cycles into the part driven by global and country-specific macro factors and the part driven by spillovers...
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Based on static analysis, a number of studies argue that forming a RTA is more likely to raise welfare if member countries are natural trading partners,ʺ while other studies claim the opposite. This paper considers the argument from a dynamic viewpoint by examining the impact of trade with...
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A number of developed countries have implemented guest-worker programs in recent decades. Its basic feature is the temporary presence of the foreign guest-workers. The problem with such programs is that there is little to prevent these guest-workers from entering the illegal job market and...
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