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We develop a model of pandemic risk management and firm valuation. We introduce aggregate transmission shocks into an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833123
although risk can be measured, uncertainty cannot be measured. Even though risk can be measured, a simple symmetric measure … attempt at "measuring" risk or (fundamental) uncertainty is flawed. … surge in the stock market would be self-correcting. Recent papers have discussed the role of "uncertainty" and its …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011543578
of uncertainty and of rationing efficiency. We show that regulatory uncertainty does not diminish the rationale for … intervention, but may require a low minimum wage that may not bind. With expected earnings-maximization, greater uncertainty widens …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011407940
Probabilistic risk beliefs are key drivers of economic and health decisions, but people are not always certain about … measurable separately from the levels of risk beliefs. People with higher levels of imprecision update their beliefs more in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014390526
We develop a theoretical model to identify and compare partial and equilibrium effects of uncertainty and the magnitude …. This interdependency is important since, in the case of legal uncertainty, higher fines may reduce the willingness to … hypotheses derived from the theory. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011347317
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001168909
Time-inconsistency of no-bailout policies can create incentives for banks to take excessive risks and generate endogenous crises when the government cannot commit. However, at the outbreak of financial problems, usually the government is uncertain about their nature, and hence it may delay...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013087435
shocks to aggregate uncertainty, I introduce a small, time-varying risk of economic disaster in a standard real business … risk of disaster does not affect the path of macroeconomic aggregates - a "separation theorem" between macroeconomic … variation in risk premia over time, are observationally equivalent to preference shocks. An increase in the perceived …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150731
the present value of the flow of social benefits minus costs. But the real world is one of considerable uncertainty … discount rates that should be used to compute present values. The implications of uncertainty are complicated by the fact that … horizons. Correctly incorporating uncertainty in policy design is therefore one of the more interesting and important research …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012778137
risk sharing. Higher uncertainty increases stock prices, risk premiums, volatility, wealth inequality and the dispersion of …I characterize a dynamic economy under general distributions of households' risk tolerance, endowments, and beliefs … consumption-share increases; (b) the wealth-share of high risk-tolerant households increases; (c) richer households' wealth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012894994